Categories
Thoughts

Renminbi weakness – All done for now?

Nial Gooding Friday, June 20th 2014 Summary conclusion A component of the decision to reverse the multi-year policy of Renminbi strength, I believe, was growth in the last two years of foreign currency liabilities assumed by Chinese borrowers. It’s too early to say whether this stitch-in-time action has been successful but if it has then […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – Does COE turnover matter in China? Evidence from the stock market

Last week I circulated a link to a paper that showed non-performing CEOs of China’s state owned enterprises get reliably dumped in the event of non-performance. That led me to a next question, answered in the paper I’m highlighting this week. In ‘Does CEO turnover matter in China? Evidence from the stock market’ Mr. Pierre […]

Categories
Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – CEO Turnover in China: the Role of Market-based and Accounting Performance Measures

In ‘CEO Turnover in China: the Role of Market-based and Accounting Performance Measures’ Mr. Martin J. Conyon of Lancaster University and Ms. Lerong He of the State University of New York examine how likely Chinese CEOs are to be booted in the event of either poor company or poor stock price performance? In this paper, […]

Categories
Thoughts

US Employment – Something Wonderful is About to Happen

Nial Gooding Wednesday, June 4th 2014 Preamble The Wall Street – Main Street disconnect that’s been a leitmotiv of the US economic recovery is perplexing. Why, when everything is improving, is Main Street still so down in the dumps? The answer is important as a lack of grass-roots confidence in the US has retarded re-engagement […]

Categories
Thoughts

China’s Credit Growth – The Pig in the Python, and what’s coming out

Nial Gooding Monday, May 19th 2014 Preamble Torture data long enough and it’ll tell you anything. This is especially true in China because not only do we have a lot of it these days but also it’s supplemented by work from a small army of subscription-seeking axe-grinders. In this note though, as far as it’s […]